Trump is pushing for regime change in Cuba, which is bad for ordinary Cubans already suffering shortages and risks pulling the US into another foreign conflict.

• Trump says he will "help" Cuba and hinted at a "friendly takeover" if the government does not open up to American investment.
• Cuba is short on food, fuel, and electricity, with power on just a couple of hours a day, largely due to US sanctions and an energy blockade.
• Marco Rubio is calling Cuba a national security threat over its ties to China and Russia, setting the stage for action.
• A report claims Cuba acquired 300 military drones to attack the US, a story even right-wing voices like Benny Johnson are calling a likely false flag.
• This comes on top of moves against Venezuela and strikes tied to Iran, with almost no pushback from Congress.

Outlook: Expect more sanctions and louder talk of military action against Cuba, with little organized opposition in Washington to stop it.