Shots were fired near the White House just as a US-Iran peace deal looked imminent, a coincidence that raises questions about who wanted to disrupt the talks.

• A gunman fired three shots from a pistol on 17th Street, far enough away that hitting Trump was impossible; Secret Service killed him.
• Trump is unharmed and was inside the White House, having cancelled his son's wedding and a golf trip to stay for the deal announcement.
• A US-Iran peace deal appears close, with the main sticking point being control of the Strait of Hormuz.
• Israel and pro-Israel commentators are furious about the potential deal and pushing hard to keep the US fighting.
• The shooter's distance from the White House looks more like a warning message than a real assassination attempt.

Outlook: The peace deal could still be signed in the coming days, but the shooting may give opponents an opening to derail it.