US-Iran talks are stalling and the strait of Hormuz stays closed, which is bad for the US economy and risky for American troops in the region.

• Talks keep collapsing because the US demands Iran give up all uranium enrichment, a condition Iran will not accept.
• Israel wants regime change and is working to sabotage any deal, while hardliners in Iran now hold power after the US killed more moderate figures.
• Trump is frustrated and lashing out, even threatening Oman, the country quietly mediating the talks.
• There is no military fix — Iran controls the strait, US bases nearby are sitting targets, and a recent failed operation inside Iran showed how hard ground action would be.
• Trump could declare victory and pull out now, but something unclear is keeping him in — possibly Israeli influence inside his inner circle.

Outlook: Without a US pullback, the standoff drags on and one stray missile could pull American troops into a wider war.