Young men who voted for Trump in 2024 are turning on him fast because the economy and the Iran war are hurting them, which is bad news for Trump and Republicans heading into 2028.

• Only 29% of adults under 35 now think they'll buy a home in the next five years, down from 53% a decade ago, because home prices, mortgage rates, and low inventory have locked even high-earning couples out.
• Less than half of people aged 15 to 34 think it's a good time to find a job, a 30-point drop in four years.
• Gas and energy prices are high because of the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz shutdown, and futures markets do not expect cheap oil to return until 2032.
• Restarting Iranian oil production is slow work, and the world's largest liquefied natural gas port was bombed and will take two years to come back online.
• Trump's net approval with men under 30 on the economy has swung 66 points against him in under two years, and JD Vance and Marco Rubio are also deeply underwater with this group.

Outlook: With higher prices, unaffordable housing, and an Iran quagmire dragging on, young men are likely to keep walking away from Trump and the GOP through 2028.