Interest rates could keep falling because deflation is the real trend
A claim that interest rates will stay low long-term, framed as bad news for savers but good for borrowers and people holding long-duration assets.
- The argument: the economy has actually been in deflation for 40 years, hidden by constant money printing.
- Without all that printing, prices would have been falling, not rising.
- That means the natural pull on interest rates is downward, not upward.
- Side take: crypto will not work as a government reserve asset because governments depend on the ability to print.
Outlook: expect interest rates to drift lower over time as the underlying deflation pressure outweighs the money printing that has been masking it.