Interest rates could keep falling because deflation is the real trend

May 29, 2026

A claim that interest rates will stay low long-term, framed as bad news for savers but good for borrowers and people holding long-duration assets.

  • The argument: the economy has actually been in deflation for 40 years, hidden by constant money printing.
  • Without all that printing, prices would have been falling, not rising.
  • That means the natural pull on interest rates is downward, not upward.
  • Side take: crypto will not work as a government reserve asset because governments depend on the ability to print.

Outlook: expect interest rates to drift lower over time as the underlying deflation pressure outweighs the money printing that has been masking it.

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