A debate over why Muslim and Latino voters shifted, and how Trump has since lost much of that support — bad news for Trump's 2024 coalition.

• Muslim support for Trump rose in 2024, driven mostly by anger over Gaza, with school messaging on LGBTQ issues as a smaller factor.
• Polls show Muslim Americans are actually more accepting of gay rights than white evangelical Christians, pushing back on common assumptions.
• As of 2026, that coalition has fallen apart — Trump lost Muslim voters over backing Israel and lost Latino voters over ICE immigration raids.
• The bigger point: Muslim Americans should vote on the economy and healthcare, not just on religion or foreign policy.

Outlook: The 2028 election and the coming midterms will test whether Trump's broken coalition stays gone.