Bad news for anyone hoping the Iran conflict winds down soon, as fighting keeps spreading and the US shows it won't restrain Israel.

• A US Apache helicopter went down near the Strait of Hormuz; both crew were rescued, but it is unclear if Iranian fire, a malfunction, or something else brought it down.
• Trump publicly told Israel not to strike Iran, but on the phone he quietly let Netanyahu hit back, showing his words are for show.
• Israel is now bombing southern Lebanon, killing more than a dozen people and ordering whole towns to evacuate, with no sign of stopping.
• A US Navy jet fired on an oil tanker heading to Iran, nearly killing its Indian crew, raising the risk of a wider crisis.
• Iran sees that the US won't or can't rein in Israel, so it has little reason to trust Trump's promise of a deal in days.

Outlook: With gas above $4 a gallon and strikes continuing, the conflict looks set to drag on for months despite talk of a quick deal.