A US-Iran peace deal is taking shape, and it's good news for anyone who wants the fighting to stop but bad news for Israeli hardliners and their US allies who want the war to continue.

• The US and Iran reached a framework deal made over Israel's head, angering Netanyahu's government.
• Israeli officials say they will keep their troops in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza no matter what the US wants.
• Pulling out of Lebanon is a red line for Iran, so Israel's refusal could block the whole deal.
• Iran keeps control of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage, only charging fees on passing ships instead of closing it.
• Hardliners in Iran are also unhappy, wanting more payback for the killing of their leaders and scientists.

Outlook: The deal could still fall apart if Israel won't withdraw or Iranian hardliners push to keep fighting.