A US-Iran peace deal was signed and Vance is publicly slamming Israeli ministers for attacking it — good for ending the war, but it looks shaky and may not last.

• The US and Iran signed a deal; Vance reminded Israel that the US pays for most of its weapons and is its only real ally left.
• Trump basically gave up his original war goals, admitting things would have gone very bad if oil kept getting stuck in the closed Strait of Hormuz.
• The big sticking point: Israel refuses to pull out of Lebanon, and Iran says no withdrawal means the war keeps going.
• Neocons, Democrats, and Israel backers (Wicker, Levin, Shapiro) are loudly attacking the deal and want to restart the war later.
• Trump and Netanyahu now have opposite interests — Netanyahu wants war for his elections, Trump wants calm for the US midterms.

Outlook: The ceasefire looks fragile and could collapse within days, with a real risk the war restarts after a pause to rearm.