The Israel-Iran war backfired on Israel, leaving it weaker and Iran stronger — bad news for Netanyahu, who has also lost his grip on Trump.

• Israel went into the war expecting to crush Iran and dominate the Middle East with no real threats left.
• Instead the war left Israel weaker and Iran stronger than before.
• Trump, once seen as fully in Israel's corner, has turned cold on Netanyahu — even comparing him unfavorably to al-Qaeda.
• The biggest loss for Israel may be political: its tight hold over the U.S. president is slipping.

Outlook: Expect more friction between Trump and Netanyahu, with U.S. backing for Israel looking shakier in the near term.