US-Iran nuclear talks have opened in Switzerland under the threat of a closed Strait of Hormuz, and it's a bad look for the American side.

• Iran threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz; Trump warns that doing so means "you won't have a country."
• Iran's president refuses to give up uranium enrichment, while Trump claims he holds all the cards and has a 60-day window.
• JD Vance, Jared Kushner, and Steve Witkoff lead the US team, with Vance openly admitting he doesn't understand diplomatic protocols.
• The deal is just a shaky ceasefire extension, not a final agreement, and even some Trump supporters are complaining about high gas and grocery prices.
• US farmers are going broke from tariffs and lost export sales, adding to the pressure at home.

Outlook: A rushed, inexperienced team has 60 days to reach a deal that took nearly 600 days last time, so a real agreement looks unlikely and tensions over Hormuz could flare again.