Good news for those wanting an end to the Middle East war, bad news for Israel and its US backers, as Trump publicly breaks with Israel and pushes for peace with Iran.

• Trump criticized Israel's heavy bombing in Lebanon and said its war on Hezbollah has gone on too long and killed too many people.
• He praised Iran's leaders as smart and rational, dismissed regime change, and signaled he wants the war over.
• A leaked deal would give Iran sanctions relief and $300 billion from Gulf states in exchange for no nuclear weapons program.
• Trump now downplays Iran's enriched uranium as buried rubble worth little — the opposite of his earlier reason for going to war.
• Israel keeps striking Lebanon despite the ceasefire, and Hezbollah hit back, wounding up to 10 Israeli soldiers in southern Lebanon.

Outlook: Peace hinges on whether Trump holds his position, but Israel is expected to keep bombing Lebanon to wreck the deal and pull the US back into the fight.