Neocons push plan to seize the Strait of Hormuz if Iran deal fails

Jun 22, 2026

Washington hawks are pushing for the US to take over the Strait of Hormuz by force if a diplomatic deal with Iran collapses — a dangerous escalation, bad for anyone hoping the Iran conflict winds down.

  • Lindsey Graham says if talks fail, Trump will seize the Strait of Hormuz, run it, and charge ships a fee to pay for it.
  • Trump backed the idea publicly, threatening tolls on the strait unless a deal gets done.
  • Taking the strait would need hundreds of thousands of troops and leave them exposed to Iranian drones — likely a military disaster.
  • Hawks like Graham and Netanyahu's allies are openly working to make the diplomatic deal fail so the military option comes back.
  • JD Vance broke with the war camp by saying Israel, not Iran, is the obstacle to peace, sparking a public fight inside Trump's own base.

Outlook: If the Iran talks collapse — which the hawks are pushing hard for — expect renewed pressure on Trump to grab the Strait of Hormuz by force.

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