The Petro Dollar Is a Real Thing

Jun 24, 2026

Dollar dominance is being reinforced as sanctioned countries return to trading in dollars — framed as good news for US financial power.

  • Sanctioned oil sellers are coming back to the dollar system, with Venezuela and Iran set to invoice their oil in dollars again.
  • Selling discounted oil to China without getting paid in dollars was a losing setup for these countries.
  • The dollar stays central because the US has the deepest, most liquid capital markets, so everyone still wants in.
  • Russia is expected to want back into the dollar system once the Ukraine war ends.

Outlook: The US looks set to keep using dollar dominance as leverage — rewarding allies and pressuring rivals as more sanctioned states return to dollar-based trade.

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