The White House is timing peace messaging on Iran to calm markets, but Iran is disputing the story — a sign of shaky ground for stocks and oil.

• Trump announced US-Iran talks in Doha right before markets opened, then sent officials on TV to promise peace and falling gas prices.
• Iran quickly denied any meeting was scheduled, contradicting the White House and leaving the ceasefire in doubt.
• The pitch is that open shipping lanes mean a flood of cheap oil ahead, but the confident tone reads more like damage control.
• Trump's approval is falling (around 38%) while disapproval climbs, despite his claim of record-high polls.
• New worries are piling up: questions over Trump-linked Axon stock buys before a government taser deal, heavy debt in SpaceX and AI, and grads struggling to find jobs.

Outlook: Expect more on-again, off-again peace headlines timed to market hours, with oil and stocks staying jumpy until Iran's position is clear.