The spread of senior property tax breaks across states
Politicians in both parties are racing to freeze or cut property taxes for seniors, which is bad for young families, renters, and anyone trying to buy a first home.
- Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed wants to freeze property taxes for seniors who paid off their homes, funded by taxing billionaires and federal money for schools.
- Freezing taxes kills the reason for older owners to ever sell, so homes stay locked up and never pass to the next generation.
- California already did this with Prop 13, and it is a big reason homes there are so expensive and rarely change hands.
- Florida is moving to scrap property tax entirely, so counties plan to cut parks and services and add gas taxes, park fees, and tolls to fill the gap.
- The idea is wildly popular because seniors vote, there are more of them, and young people are fewer and vote less.
Outlook: Expect more states to freeze or cut property taxes for seniors, likely across half the country within a few years, pushing home prices higher for everyone else.