Has Big Tech Run Out of Ideas?

Jul 11, 2026

This is a skeptical take on the AI boom, and it's bad news for Big Tech stock prices if the argument holds.

  • The AI story may be propping up sky-high tech stock prices rather than reflecting real demand.
  • The claim: companies like Google and Apple have run out of huge new growth ideas — no next iPhone, no next Google search.
  • Over a trillion dollars, with trillions more coming, is being poured into AI and large language models.
  • If AI turns out to be a dead end, these companies will have to admit they have nothing else to drive growth.

Outlook: If AI spending fails to produce a real payoff, richly priced tech stocks could face a hard reckoning.

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