The Iran conflict just took a dangerous turn, and it's bad news for US troops, civilians across the Middle East, and anyone hoping for a quick end.

• An Iranian ballistic missile hit a US base in Jordan and killed two American service members, and it may have gotten around US defenses.
• Trump ordered a wave of new air strikes to "punish" Iran, and both sides are now dug in for a long fight.
• The real prize is now the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route Iran says it has the right to control.
• Iran has fired missiles and drones at Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, hitting power and water plants and cutting supplies to villages.
• Iran says over 50 people have been killed and 500 wounded since the strikes began, and Trump is asking Congress for more war money.

Outlook: No off-ramp is in sight, so expect the strikes and counterstrikes to keep escalating through the summer.