Bad news: the US and Iran are sliding back toward all-out war, American troops are dying, and the military may be running out of the weapons to keep fighting.

• Four US service members were killed in 24 hours — three in a ballistic missile strike on a base in Jordan, one in a drone accident in Iraq.
• The Pentagon is hiding the true toll, quietly withholding dozens of injuries and cutting back on what it reveals about the fighting.
• The US is running low on everything — interceptors, long-range weapons, and troops — and one official said the White House may not even realize it.
• Iran is now using its more advanced missiles, hitting harder and more accurately as US air defenses get worn down, so time is on Iran's side.
• The war is the most unpopular in the history of US polling, but Trump's own base still backs it, boxing him in politically.

Outlook: Trump faces a choice between walking away without a deal or escalating toward a ground invasion that would likely mean far heavier casualties, with a fragile 10-day ceasefire the only offramp in sight.