Political pressure is building on Trump to end the war, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is the most likely person to take the fall.

• Trump is seen as capable of declaring victory, walking away, and shifting attention to something else.
• The earlier attempt at a deal fell apart when Israel ignored the promise to stop fighting in Lebanon and escalated instead.
• Republican politicians are stuck between voters who have turned against the war and donors who demand backing Israel no matter what.
• The main obstacle is Trump's unwillingness to admit a mistake, and Israeli pressure makes backing out harder.
• Firing Hegseth would let Trump pin the whole thing on someone else.

Outlook: Expect an exit framed as a win, with Hegseth as the likely scapegoat.