Russia is hitting Ukraine's warehouses and supply lines much harder, and NATO is telling Europeans to get ready for a wider war — bad news for Ukraine heading into winter and for anyone hoping for a quick peace deal.

• Russia has stepped up strikes on Ukrainian warehouses, fuel, and ammunition depots after Ukrainian attacks on Russian suburbs killed civilians.
• The goal is to choke off Ukraine's supplies and force the war to an end, as war fatigue and economic pain grow inside Russia.
• NATO is running new messaging urging civilians to prepare for conflict with Russia, and a BBC headline asks Britons whether they are "psychologically ready" for war.
• Trump plans a new permanent US base in Poland, which Russia sees as breaking a 1997 promise not to station forces in new NATO members — making a peace deal harder.
• Scott Horton, author of *Provoked*, argues NATO expansion, missile systems in Eastern Europe, and the 2014 Maidan coup pushed Russia into the war, and that Zelensky can't make peace without risking his life at the hands of Ukraine's far-right militias.

Outlook: Trump is set to speak with Putin this week, but with Ukraine refusing to give up the rest of Donetsk and Russia now aiming for the whole southern coast, expect the war to grind on for years rather than end soon.