A rare pattern in Bitcoin's history has usually been followed by a bounce within a few weeks, which reads as a positive setup for buyers.

• The same signal has fired 12 times before, and about three quarters of those times Bitcoin was higher three weeks later.
• The typical gain in those cases was roughly 16-17%, with the average and the median landing close together.
• Measured from last week's close, a move that size puts Bitcoin back in the mid-$90,000s.
• The timing points to the second or third week of October, so the payoff would come fast if the pattern holds.

Outlook: If history repeats, Bitcoin grinds back toward the mid-$90,000s by mid-October, though results around the average vary widely.

## Bitcoin Levels

• **Bias:** Bullish over the next three weeks
• **Targets:** $94,000-$95,000 (roughly 16% above last week's close)