Bitcoin is up 9.5% since its golden cross 13 days ago, far ahead of the typical pattern — a good sign for holders, though it raises the odds of a pullback.

• A golden cross happened 13 days ago, and Bitcoin has gained 9.5% since then.
• Past golden crosses usually delivered only about 1.5% by this point.
• Until today the move was tracking past examples almost exactly, then it jumped.
• Some earlier golden crosses also ran far ahead of the pack, so this is unusual but not unheard of.
• The real strength in past cycles came later, roughly 30 to 50 days after the cross.

Outlook: The gain is likely to cool off and settle back toward the historical pattern, with the bigger move expected in the next month or so.