October rate hike odds hit 62% as markets price in up to six hikes
Betting markets now lean toward the Fed raising interest rates in October, which is bad news for stocks, borrowers, and anyone hoping for cheaper loans.
- Odds of an October rate hike have climbed past 60% and kept rising through the day.
- Futures markets now center on four rate hikes by next September, up sharply from three and a half.
- Five hikes is close to a coin toss, and six is on the table.
- Higher rates make mortgages, car loans, and credit card debt more expensive, and usually pressure stocks.
Outlook: If these odds hold, the Fed looks set to tighten in October with more hikes stacked through next year.