Bitcoin's dip back to its short-term trend line is a normal, healthy reset — and history says it usually leads to higher prices within days.

• Bitcoin pulled away from its 5-day moving average, then snapped right back to it, as it almost always does.
• Once a price drifts off that line, the odds of it returning are close to 90%.
• Looking back 10 years, there have been over 200 of these reconnects.
• Five days after a reconnect, Bitcoin was higher 64% of the time, with an average gain near 3%.

Outlook: The odds favor a modest move higher over the next week, though the edge is a tendency, not a guarantee.