Taiwan analysts say the next few days will show whether Trump's warm welcome for Xi Jinping came at Taiwan's expense — and most expect arms sales to go ahead.

• A stalled $14 billion arms package for Taiwan is the measure everyone is watching; approving it soon would signal Trump was not swayed by Xi.
• Former US defense official Hu Zhendong warns that delay would tell Xi his pressure works, encouraging more of it.
• Taiwan's National Policy Foundation panel argues the package is safe because Congress pre-approved it, not the White House, and expects it split into batches starting late this year.
• The red-carpet treatment for Xi included a B-1 bomber flyover — the same plane used against Iran's leadership — read as a quiet threat rather than pure flattery.
• Tech chiefs including Jensen Huang and Elon Musk at the head table showed Trump's real target was trade, and the truce was extended only two months.

Outlook: Expect the arms package to move in smaller tranches from late this year, with US wording on Taiwan unchanged even as tactics shift.