American opinion on Israel has swung hard negative, which is bad news for Israel's lobbying efforts in Washington and for the lawmakers who defend it.

• Every major poll now shows Israel with net negative favorability among Americans, not just among Democrats.
• Israel's standing has flipped from strongly positive during Trump's first term to clearly negative now, a swing of about 67 points.
• Congressman Brad Sherman warned Israeli officials that what's at stake goes beyond the $3.8 billion in yearly US aid — it includes access to American weapons and diplomatic cover.
• He pointed to settler violence and far-right figures like Ben Gvir in the cabinet as the reason the numbers keep sliding, and said Israel cannot survive with no friends left.
• The pushback: the worry in Washington is about image and optics, not about the killing of Palestinians itself, which intensified again over the weekend.

Outlook: With the 10-year US aid agreement signed under Obama running out soon, falling public support makes renewing it a much harder political fight.