Bitcoin has closed three months higher in a row, and history says that has usually been a good sign for buyers over the following half year.

• The pattern has only shown up 13 times before, but the odds leaned positive each time.
• Looking 1, 3, and 6 months out, returns were green 77% of the time in all three windows.
• Median gains were strong: over 14% after a month, 60% after three months, and 45% after six.
• The upside case comes with sharp pullbacks along the way, so the ride is not smooth.

Outlook: The bet leans higher over the next six months, with violent dips expected inside that trend.