Wholesale inflation numbers point to a tough summer
US wholesale prices jumped sharply in April, which is bad news for shoppers, workers, and stock investors but could create buying opportunities later for people sitting in cash.
- Wholesale prices rose almost three times what Wall Street expected, meaning store prices will likely climb even more in a couple of months.
- The jump goes beyond gas and diesel — service businesses like plumbers and contractors are adding surcharges to pass on their own rising costs.
- The Fed cannot easily cut interest rates while inflation is this hot, and only a stock market crash would force their hand.
- Gold and silver are moving with the stock market right now, not acting as inflation protection, so cash is the safer position.
- Home prices in the most desirable areas are already down 35%, even though news coverage downplays it.
Outlook: Store prices and service charges will keep climbing this summer, weak corporate earnings could follow, and a stock market drop is likely if inflation stays hot.