Wholesale inflation numbers point to a tough summer

May 13, 2026

US wholesale prices jumped sharply in April, which is bad news for shoppers, workers, and stock investors but could create buying opportunities later for people sitting in cash.

  • Wholesale prices rose almost three times what Wall Street expected, meaning store prices will likely climb even more in a couple of months.
  • The jump goes beyond gas and diesel — service businesses like plumbers and contractors are adding surcharges to pass on their own rising costs.
  • The Fed cannot easily cut interest rates while inflation is this hot, and only a stock market crash would force their hand.
  • Gold and silver are moving with the stock market right now, not acting as inflation protection, so cash is the safer position.
  • Home prices in the most desirable areas are already down 35%, even though news coverage downplays it.

Outlook: Store prices and service charges will keep climbing this summer, weak corporate earnings could follow, and a stock market drop is likely if inflation stays hot.

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