Game Theory #21: World War Trump
The US-Iran ceasefire may end soon, and the war is part of a bigger US plan to box in China and keep its empire — bad for China, Russia, Iran, and likely most of the world.
- The US is moving toward a war economy: car factories making weapons, draft registration for 18-26 year olds starting December, Pentagon budget jumping to $1.5 trillion.
- Oil refineries are burning worldwide — over 50 in 45 days, from Russia to Australia to India — cutting global oil supply and pushing fuel, fertilizer, and food prices up sharply.
- The real US goal is controlling global choke points (Strait of Hormuz, Strait of Malacca, Panama, Greenland) so China is forced to buy energy and goods from America in US dollars.
- Democrats are quietly backing the war — a recent vote to limit Trump's war powers was staged to fail, showing both parties support the strategy.
- The plan needs a draft, a Trump third term, and an AI surveillance state (ICE budget jumping to $90 billion, $500 billion in data centers) to keep Americans from revolting.
Outlook: The Iran war will drag on for years, the US will likely seem to win short-term by squeezing China, but nationalism, corruption, and political division will eventually break the empire.