The Gulf State Militaries Are a Joke—For Now

May 25, 2026

Iran's 2026 attacks shattered the Gulf States' assumption that they were safe, and now Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and others are scrambling to build real militaries. This is bad for Iran and for the region's recent calm, but good for arms makers in Ukraine, Israel, South Korea, and elsewhere.

  • The Gulf States spent decades buying fancy weapons mainly to please foreign sellers like the US, not to actually fight, leaving them exposed when Iran hit oil pipelines, gas plants, and Emirati cities directly.
  • US protection fell short during the conflict — American bases got hammered and Patriot interceptors ran low — so Saudi Arabia and the UAE secretly struck back at Iran themselves for the first time ever.
  • The Gulf is now signing big defense deals with Ukraine for cheap drone interceptors, accepting Pakistani troops on Saudi soil, and turning to Israeli, Korean, and Chinese air defense systems instead of waiting in line for US gear.
  • Tiny populations mean these countries will lean heavily on mercenaries, especially from Pakistan, Egypt, and likely Ukrainian combat veterans once that war ends.
  • Saudi Arabia has floated a regional non-aggression pact modeled on the 1975 Helsinki Accords, though the UAE looks ready to refuse.

Outlook: Expect a fast Gulf arms buildup, new drone factories on Gulf soil, and growing tension between Saudi Arabia and the UAE as each country races to build a military that can actually fight.

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