Gold Investing: The Case For Buying Today

Jul 21, 2026

Gold has dropped sharply from its early-2026 record, and the argument is that this is a buying chance for long-term investors, not a warning to run.

  • Gold peaked near record highs earlier this year and has fallen about 26% since.
  • The drop is driven by rising interest rates, higher government bond yields, and a stronger dollar — all bad for gold in the short run.
  • The Iran conflict has pushed energy prices up, so the Fed is expected to keep rates high for longer.
  • The long-term reasons to own gold are unchanged: US debt near $40 trillion, growing deficits, and non-stop money printing.
  • Central banks keep buying — China has added gold for 20 months straight, and central banks overall are buying at double the pace of the prior decade.
  • Over the past 25 years gold has beaten the S&P 500 by roughly double.

Outlook: The bottom is unknowable and gold could fall further, so the suggested approach is buying steadily over time rather than trying to time it.

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